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Dwayne Bryant

Dwayne Bryant

(965) Baltimore Orioles at (966) Toronto Blue Jays

Event:
(965) Baltimore Orioles at (966) Toronto Blue Jays
Sport/League:
MLB
Date/Time:
June 5, 2024 7PM EDT
Play Rating:
4%
Odds:
-110
Play:
4% – (965) Baltimore Orioles at (966) Toronto Blue Jays Total Under 8.0 (-110) A Suarez (RHP), J Berrios (RHP) Must Start
Result:
Win
Analysis

7:07 PM ET -- MLB 

965 Baltimore Orioles 
966 Toronto Blue Jays

Play: UNDER 8 -110  

List Pitchers: Suarez & Berrios            

Bet Size: 4%

Line Parameters:
4% play at 8 or better
3% play at 7.5 
2% play at 7

My MLB plays are determined by statistical data (standard and advanced metrics from fangraphs.com), history involving similar games and situations (researched through the SDQL database), and current market data.  A play is made when enough of these factors align.  The play's size is determined by how many of these factors align, how much value is perceived, and how confident I am about the play.  

KEY SITUATIONAL ANGLE(S):

The UNDER is 9-0 in the 2023-2024 seasons when Jose Berrios starts at home with the line between even money and -150.

The UNDER is 12-2-1 in the 2022-2024 seasons when Toronto is coming off a loss by at least 8 runs.

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