close icon
popup icon
Free Picks
Discounts &
Get $15 Free
Andrew McInnis

Andrew McInnis

(775) Saskatchewan Roughriders at (776) Edmonton Elks

Event:
(775) Saskatchewan Roughriders at (776) Edmonton Elks
Sport/League:
CFL
Date/Time:
June 8, 2024 7PM EDT
Play Rating:
5%
Odds:
-110
Play:
5% – Saskatchewan Roughriders +2.5 (-110)
Result:
Win
Analysis

Saskatchewan Roughriders +2.5 (-110)…(5%) Play to +1

There are expectations that the Elks have gotten better and that's true, but I believe that the Roughriders got MUCH better and the wrong team is favored here, despite Edmonton being the home team. 

The Edmonton Elks finished the season dead last in the Western Division and tied for last in the entire League. The Elks were 2-7 at home last year and have a long history of being a horrible home team, but yet they opened up as -3.5 favorites, something I strongly disagreed with. 

Although Edmonton made moves on the offensive side of the ball by adding Mcleod Bethal-Thompson at the QB position, a few new pass-catching options, and a punt returner and they tried to improve their O-line, I'm still not confident in their consistency, especially in the second and long situations where he'll need time for his receivers to make plays, I don't think the O-line will give him that time and life will be difficult for the Elks to make plays down the field. In 2023, the Edmonton Elks had some of the most sacked QBs in the league and one off-season of additions isn't going to be able to address the pass protection problem, especially when they have to face the pass rushers that the Roughriders have. Now that I've mentioned that I already don't like the offence too much, I also think their defence was their worst issue. Even in games the Elks offence came alive, the defence would let them down, especially at home. Last year, the Elks gave up the eighth-most points in the league and the ninth-most rushing yards, something the Riders will be utilizing big-time with one of their new pickups. 

Alright, enough crapping on the Elks, why do we like the Riders?

The Riders may have had a rough year last year, but they dealt with a ton of injuries, so they have an excuse, the Elks DO NOT. The Roughriders now have a healthy Trevor Harris, who led his team to a 3-1 start last year, including two OUTRIGHT victories over this very Elks team. Trevor Harris and many other key pieces to the Sask offence got hurt which hurt their offence big time but now that he's healthy again, I'm confident he can lead this team and shine with the new pieces they have picked up. The biggest move in free agency for Sask was the signing of Argos superstar RB A.J. Ouellette. AJ rushed for over 1,000 yards in 2023 and will fill a gap BIG TIME for a run game in Sask that was practically non-existent. With a great run game, it will only open things up for Trevor Harris to utilize his passing game and it will leave the defence guessing a lot more, whereas last year it was quite obvious that most plays were passes. Another pick was WR Geronimo Allison who spent time with the Detroit Lions and Green Bay Packers. On the defensive side of the ball, the Riders signed a new linebacker, defensive end, defensive back and a pair of linebacking brothers that should make an immediate impact. 

The Riders spent a lot this off-season and also got a LOT healthier, which is why I think this team will be much different than the team people saw last year. 

With a healthy Trevor Harris, a ton of new additions on both sides of the ball and one of the most reliable field goal kickers in the league, I'm confident the Riders will cover this 2.5 for us and win the game OUTRIGHT. 

close popup icon