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Rob Veno

Rob Veno

(633) Phoenix Mercury at (634) Seattle Storm

(633) Phoenix Mercury at (634) Seattle Storm
June 4, 2024 10PM EDT
Play Rating:
3% – Seattle Storm -7.5 (-110)


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(617) Phoenix Mercury at (618) Minnesota Lynx   (Game Analysis Below)

Play Rating: 3%

Play Type: Full Game Team Total

Play: Seattle Storm Total Over 87.5 (-115)

Date/Time: Jun 4, 2024 10:00 PM / Line Provider: Consensus


Phoenix @ Seattle (Open: Seattle -7 & 165.5 / Current: Seattle -7.5 166.5)


Phoenix 5th game in L8D Seattle 5 days off since 103-88 trouncing of Indiana

Mercury still without starting G Rebecca Allen (concussion)

Since 3-1 start they have lost 4 of 5 with 3 of those by 15+ (vs. Dallas / @ Connecticut / @ Minnesota)

Seattle now back home with 5 days off since 103-88 trouncing of Indiana 

Have gone 5-1 su L6G with 4 of the 5 wins coming by 9+

Storm goes on the road for a pair of tough games vs Las Vegas & Minnesota so likely motivated to add a win here in game they’re supposed to win

Lynx shot season low 36.9% from the field (50% @ Atl / 47.8%  H NY / 48.5% @ Con / 44.3% H vs. Sea  / 45.3% @ Sea

Phoenix #11 Defensive Rating In WNBA

Storm 4th best FG% team in the league 

Phoenix allows 84.8 ppg & Seattle is scoring 91.5 ppg L4G

Against the #10 defensive rating team Washington…Seattle scored 101 & against the #12 DR team Indiana…Seattle scored 103

Seattle is 5-1 su L6G with 4 of the 5 wins coming by 9+

Additional Matchup Advantage : 

Mercury is the worst FG% shooting team in the WNBA & Seattle owns the #4 FG% allowed

Storm #2 in Points In The Paint (41.5) while Phoenix is last (28)

Mercury Tempo Matched By Seattle Here

Phoenix #2 team in offensive pace but Seattle is really close at #4

Phoenix will run all night but Storm as mentioned previously can score (84+ in 4 of L6G)

Backcourt of Jewell Lloyd & Skylar Diggins-Smith along with Nneka Ogwunmike can push

Don’t feel the Storm will dodge tempo and they are #5 in Fast Break points & Points Off Turnovers (Phoenix is 2nd to last & last in those categories)

Step down in defensive class here should again benefit them offensively 

Final Look

Shapes up to be a tempo game where Seattle can get to 88+ 

Figure Storm to continue on their strong run as they look to be gaining cohesion & momentum each game

Phoenix could be somewhat fatigued but have shown offensive punch averaging 80.4 ppg

Seattle likely to win this one by 9+

Play: Seattle Storm -7.5 (-110)

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