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Dwayne Bryant

Dwayne Bryant

(929) San Diego Padres at (930) Los Angeles Angels

Event:
(929) San Diego Padres at (930) Los Angeles Angels
Sport/League:
MLB
Date/Time:
June 4, 2024 9PM EDT
Play Rating:
4%
Odds:
-112
Play:
4% – San Diego Padres -112 A Mazur (RHP), P Sandoval (LHP) Must Start
Result:
Loss
Analysis

9:38 PM ET -- MLB 

929 San Diego Padres 
930 Los Angeles Angels

Play: 929 SAN DIEGO -112  

List Pitchers: Mazur & Sandoval          

Bet Size: 4%

Line Parameters:
4% play at -120 or better
3% play at -121 to -130 
2% play at -131 to -135

My MLB plays are determined by statistical data (standard and advanced metrics from fangraphs.com), history involving similar games and situations (researched through the SDQL database), and current market data.  A play is made when enough of these factors align.  The play's size is determined by how many of these factors align, how much value is perceived, and how confident I am about the play.  

KEY SITUATIONAL ANGLE(S):

The Angels are 2-17 at home this season when the line is between (but not including) -125 and +125.

Since 2023, Patrick Sandoval is 1-11 (Team's Record) when starting at home against a team with a winning record.

The Angels are 0-9 at home this season when coming off a win.

The Padres are 6-1 on the road this season after scoring 2 or fewer runs in their previous game.

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