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Dwayne Bryant

Dwayne Bryant

(979) New York Yankees at (980) San Francisco Giants

Event:
(979) New York Yankees at (980) San Francisco Giants
Sport/League:
MLB
Date/Time:
June 1, 2024 10PM EDT
Play Rating:
4%
Odds:
-110
Play:
4% – (979) New York Yankees at (980) San Francisco Giants Total Under 7.5 (-110) C Poteet (RHP), L Webb (RHP) Must Start
Result:
Loss
Analysis

10:05 PM ET -- MLB 

979 New York Yankees    
980 San Francisco Giants

Play: UNDER 7.5 -110

List Pitchers: Poteet & Webb          

Bet Size: 4%

Line Parameters:
4% play at 7.5 or better
3% play at 7

My MLB plays are determined by statistical data (standard and advanced metrics from fangraphs.com), history involving similar games and situations (researched through the SDQL database), and current market data.  A play is made when enough of these factors align.  The play's size is determined by how many of these factors align, how much value is perceived, and how confident I am about the play.  

KEY SITUATIONAL ANGLE(S):

Since 8/1/2022, the UNDER is 14-1 (93.3%) when Logan Webb starts at home and the number of hits he allowed in his previous start is less than his season-to-date average number of hits allowed per start.

Since 5/31/2023, the UNDER is 11-0 when the Yankees play on the road coming off at least 3 straight wins.

The UNDER is 7-0 since 2023 when Logan Webb starts at home on 5 or 6 days rest.

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