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Jeff Michaels

Jeff Michaels

(501) Dallas Mavericks at (502) Boston Celtics

Event:
(501) Dallas Mavericks at (502) Boston Celtics
Sport/League:
NBA
Date/Time:
June 6, 2024 8PM EDT
Play Rating:
5%
Odds:
-110
Play:
5% – Boston Celtics -6.0 (-110)
Result:
Win
Analysis

(501) Dallas Mavericks at (502) Boston Celtics

Boston Celtics -6.0 (-110)

NBA Finals game #1 home teams are 17-2 SU and 16-3 ATS since 2004 and 15-1 SU and 14-2 ATS as a Fav of -4 and higher. In those wins they have covered by 7.3 ppg. 

Favs of -4 and higher in game #1 of the Finals with more rest are 7-0 SU and 7-0 ATS winning by 15.9 PPG and covering by 9.4 PPG.

In the Finals there have need 4 teams with 7+ days of rest and those teams are 4-0 SU and 4-0 ATS (FYI the home team avg 1Q score was 25.2 to 21.2 and the avg 1H score was 48.4 to 41.2).

Celtics have had that winning mentality as they finished game #1 on a 23-13 run, game #3 on a 15-4 run and game #4 on a 15-4 run. With the extra rest it looks as if though Porzingis will be back (hurt in game #4 of opening round) adding even further to the bench depth advantage Boston has. Celtics have avg’d 39.8 three points shots per game which is #1 in the playoffs while Dallas’ three-point D is #9 of the 16 playoff trams and the Mavs have seen the #11 number of three’s so their defense will have to defend many more than have been accustom to. 

Celtics are # in playoff PPG diff (+10.0) – Dallas is #5

Celtics are #1 in Rebounding per game diff (+5.9) – Dallas is #5

Celtics are #1 at +7.6 FT per game – Dallas #6

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