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Dwayne Bryant

Dwayne Bryant

(959) Miami Marlins at (960) San Diego Padres

Event:
(959) Miami Marlins at (960) San Diego Padres
Sport/League:
MLB
Date/Time:
May 28, 2024 9PM EDT
Play Rating:
3%
Odds:
-105
Play:
3% – (959) Miami Marlins at (960) San Diego Padres Total Under 7.0 (-105) J Luzardo (LHP), M Waldron (RHP) Must Start
Result:
Win
Analysis

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https://wt.buzz/db

=======================================

9:40 PM ET -- MLB 

959 Miami Marlins   
960 San Diego Padres

Play: UNDER 7 -105

List Pitchers: Luzardo & Waldron        

Bet Size: 3%

Line Parameters:
3% play at 7 or better

My MLB plays are determined by statistical data (standard and advanced metrics from fangraphs.com), history involving similar games and situations (researched through the SDQL database), and current market data.  A play is made when enough of these factors align.  The play's size is determined by how many of these factors align, how much value is perceived, and how confident I am about the play.  

KEY SITUATIONAL ANGLE(S):

The UNDER is 9-0-1 in Matt Waldron's ten career starts.  These games stayed UNDER by an average of 2.75 runs per game.

The UNDER is 6-0-1 this season when Miami plays a road night game with the total at 8 or less as long as they're not an underdog of more than +200.

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