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Marco D'Angelo

Marco D'Angelo

(519) Minnesota Timberwolves at (520) Denver Nuggets

Event:
(519) Minnesota Timberwolves at (520) Denver Nuggets
Sport/League:
NBA
Date/Time:
May 14, 2024 10PM EDT
Play Rating:
4%
Odds:
-110
Play:
4% – (519) Minnesota Timberwolves at (520) Denver Nuggets Total Under 206.5 (-110)
Result:
Loss
Analysis

*** Play updated with analysis added***

 

4% (520) MINNESOTA/DENVER UNDER 206.5

Line good to 204.5



Game 5 of a series that is tied at 2-2 is the most important game of the series as the Game 5 Winner will go on and Win the series 82.8% of the time in the NBA. So with that said expect both teams to bring the intensity tonight and that starts on the defensive side of the ball. Minnesota was #1 on defense in points allowed per game while Denver was #6. Minnesota was #2 in defensive shooting percentage allowed while Denver was #8.  My numbers have 198 points or less being scored tonight.

KEY STAT: DENVER is 17-3 UNDER after playing 2 consecutive road games this season and if coming off 2 or more consecutive road Wins they were 7-0 to the UNDER.

KEY STAT: DENVER is 25-12 UNDER as a home favorite of 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons

KEY STAT: MINNESOTA is 14-6 UNDER after 2 or more consecutive overs this season

TAKE MINNESOTA/DENVER UNDER 206.5 as my 4% NBA BEST BET 

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