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Bryan Power

Bryan Power

(201821) Cadiz at (201822) Sevilla

Event:
(201821) Cadiz at (201822) Sevilla
Sport/League:
SLL
Date/Time:
May 15, 2024 1PM EDT
Play Rating:
4%
Odds:
-110
Play:
4% – REGULATION Sevilla -110
Result:
Loss
Analysis

4% Sevilla (1:30 ET): Cadiz picked up a much needed win Sunday against Getafe, 1-0, with the lone goal coming on a penalty in the 35th minute. But that result is nothing more than temporary alleviation for the Yellow Submarine’s relegation concerns as they are still five points adrift of safety with three matches to play. Now the last two come against Las Palmas and already-relegated Almeria, the two most out of form sides in all of La Liga. But the ability to stay up in the top flight for another season remains out of Cadiz’s hands at the moment as positive results from Mallorca, Rayo Vallecano and Celta Vigo midweek would officially condemn Cadiz to the Segunda Division for 2024-25. 

Truthfully, Cadiz is a side that’s been “living on the edge” (of the relegation battle) for the past several seasons. It’s been B2B 16th place finishes and they’ve finished bottom three in xPts two of the previous three campaigns. In my view, them dropping back down has not been a question of “if,” but “when.” Yes, they have everything to play for heading into this fixture with Sevilla, who is safely “on the beach” (no threat of relegation, can’t finish in the European places), however it is away and Cadiz have yet to win a single match on their travels this season (11 losses and six draws). 

Sevilla has won four of its last five home matches including B2B wins over Mallorca and Granada, two sides (like Cadiz) that are near the bottom of the table. Last week, Los Nervionenses suffered their first loss - in any competition - since March when they conceded two late goals against Villarreal (the second coming 7 mins into stoppage time). I expect a strong bounce back effort here as a top half of the table finish is still possible (that’s something to play for). Plus Sevilla have scored multiple goals in four of their last five matches overall. Cadiz last scored multiple goals in a match back on March 9th, not to mention their only two goals in the last three matches were an OG and a penalty! Can’t see them picking up consecutive positive results (even a draw), despite the desperate state they are in. 4% Sevilla (Play to -130)

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