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Bryan Power

Bryan Power

(517) Indiana Pacers at (518) New York Knicks

Event:
(517) Indiana Pacers at (518) New York Knicks
Sport/League:
NBA
Date/Time:
May 14, 2024 8PM EDT
Play Rating:
2%
Odds:
-110
Play:
2% – New York Knicks -2.0 (-110)
Result:
Win
Analysis

2% New York (8:00 ET): So I expect the Knicks to take a lead into halftime. Of course, they’ve also shown an ability to come from behind in this series (as we saw in Games 1 and 2, not to mention the 1st round vs. Philadelphia). So look for them to lengthen that halftime lead in the second half and cover the full game as well. I just think the shooting numbers we saw in Game 4 will “normalize” here. No way the Pacers are going to shoot 56.8% from the field again, or 45.2% from three. Conversely, those Knicks’ shooting numbers I reference in the 1st half writeup should absolutely improve here at home. 

Let’s not forget that the Pacers are a terrible defensive team that gives up 121.3 PPG on the road. The Knicks scored 121 and 130 in Games 1 & 2 here at home. Of course, something I haven't even mentioned yet is that the home team has won all four games in this series. This full game number is several points shorter than where the market closed for Game 1 (Knicks -5.5) and Game 2 (-4.5). With the wild swing in public perception for this series, the value is clearly on the Knicks now. It's reminiscent of how the public “gave up” on Denver after they lost two straight games. So look for the Knicks to not only win and cover the 1st half, but the full game as well.  2% New York (Play to -3.5)

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