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Adam Trigger

Adam Trigger

(304615) NC Dinos at (304616) Hanwha Eagles

Event:
(304615) NC Dinos at (304616) Hanwha Eagles
Sport/League:
KBO
Date/Time:
May 14, 2024 5AM EDT
Play Rating:
4%
Odds:
-125
Play:
4% – Hanwha Eagles +1.5 (-125)
Result:
Win
Analysis

Since the books are giving us the run head start here I'll take one final shot with Hyun-Jin Ryu.

I fully expected Ryu to come back to KBO and dominate, that hasn't been the case but he's shown flashes and one of those outings was against NC where all of the damage was done in one swing. 

This line assumes Ryu is going to be what he's been all season, if he pitches well here that's insane value getting a run cushion with Hanwha at home.

Ryu had one of his best outings of the season against NC, he went 7 innings with 8 strikeouts and the three runs he gave up were the result of a 2 out 3 run HR.  NC didn't manage to do much the rest of the time against Ryu and will now be forced to take on Ryu without one of their top hitters (and probably their best hitter against LHP) as Min-Woo Park is out with a shoulder injury.

Ryu has also pitched better at home, his most recent home start was a QS 1 run over 6 innings and he's yet to lose a decision at home this season.  That's also deceiving because only two of his starts have been in Daejeon with the other 6 coming on the road and he's an icon in South Korea which means he's been getting every opponents best effort.

NC goes with Daniel Castano, he's someone I like a lot and I still think he has the chance to be the best newcomer to KBO but the league is definitely starting to get a beat on him.  Castano has given up 14 earned runs on 24 hits in 17 innings across his last three starts so even if he's better I'll take my chances that he doesn't completely wipe out this Hanwha lineup.  

I don't love Hanwha offensively as a team but there's no doubt the duo of Perlaza and Si-Hwan Roh give the Eagles a chance to break out each time through the order.  Hanwha will have a chance to win here, at worst I think this is a close game.

Play on Hanwha Eagles +1.5 (-125) for 4% (or 4 units)

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