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Marco D'Angelo

Marco D'Angelo

(509) New York Knicks at (510) Indiana Pacers

Event:
(509) New York Knicks at (510) Indiana Pacers
Sport/League:
NBA
Date/Time:
May 12, 2024 3PM EDT
Play Rating:
4%
Odds:
-110
Play:
4% – Indiana Pacers -5.5 (-110)
Result:
Win
Analysis

**Pick Updated with analysis

 

4% (510) INDIANA -5.5

Line good to -6.5



Knee jerk reaction here is to grab the points with the Knicks as they won the first two games outright and only lost Game 3 by 5 points. So getting 5.5 makes them a live dog right? Nope the toughest game to win is the first game of a series for a young team and Indiana had their backs to the wall being down 0-2 and in a must win situation. They had a ton of pressure in game 3 because a loss there and the series would have been over. It also didn’t help that their Coach bitched and moaned about the officiating in Games 1 & 2. You want you coach to instill confidence not sit there and whine in the post game press conference. But all that doesn’t matter because they gutted out a win and they are back in the series and can play Game 4 with Confidence. Think about this Indiana only shot 12 of 32 from 3 that’s just 37%. New York shot 14 of 27 that’s 47% and yet Indiana still won by 5. Imagine what the score would have been if New York hadn’t shot lights out. Indiana rolls big today. My numbers have INDIANA Winning by 9–11 points.

KEY STAT: INDIANA is 29-12 ATS after a game where they failed to cover the spread this season

KEY STAT: INDIANA is 22-10 ATS when playing 4 or less games in 10 days over the last 2 seasons.


TAKE INDIANA as my 4% NBA BEST BET 
 

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