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The Gold Sheet

The Gold Sheet

(909) Cincinnati Reds at (910) San Francisco Giants

Event:
(909) Cincinnati Reds at (910) San Francisco Giants
Sport/League:
MLB
Date/Time:
May 11, 2024 7PM EDT
Play Rating:
3%
Odds:
-105
Play:
3% – 1H Cincinnati Reds -0.5 (-105) N Lodolo (LHP), M Black (RHP) Must Start
Result:
Loss
Analysis

San Francisco's Mason Black will be making his second MLB start after getting shelled by the Phillies on Monday. The Lehigh University product (about 90 minutes away from Citizens Bank Park) was pitching in front of a big group of supporters, but gave up five runs on eight hits with three walks in 4.1 innings against Philadelphia. He makes his first home start on Saturday against a hungry Reds team that broke an eight-game losing streak on Friday. After only pitching 34.1 innings in 2023, Nick Lodolo has been fantastic in his return this season. He enters Saturday with a 3-1 record, a 2.79 ERA and a 0.93 WHIP. The former top-10 draft selection is in the top-10th percentile among pitchers in chase rate, whiff rate and strikeout rate. We have no interest in getting the bullpens involved in this one, but the Reds should enjoy a sizable edge in the starting pitcher matchup. No one on either roster has faced either opposing pitcher before, so there is no familiarity advantage on either side. Jorge Soler's absence takes a big bat out of the Giants' lineup against a lefty pitcher. Back Cincinnati's first five runline (-0.5) against the Giants on Saturday.

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