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The Gold Sheet

The Gold Sheet

(505) Oklahoma City Thunder at (506) Dallas Mavericks

Event:
(505) Oklahoma City Thunder at (506) Dallas Mavericks
Sport/League:
NBA
Date/Time:
May 11, 2024 3PM EDT
Play Rating:
3%
Odds:
-110
Play:
3% – Dallas Mavericks -2.5 (-110)
Result:
Win
Analysis

Entering this Western Conference semifinal, the biggest question was: Will Dallas get enough complementary help from its role players to help Kyrie Irving and Luka Doncic? After a 119-110 road win in Game 2, the answer appears to be a resounding "Yes!" Seven Mavericks scored at least nine points, led by 29 points from PJ Washington. The veteran sharp-shooter was 7-of-11 from three-point range while also securing 11 rebounds. His production was needed because Irving only scored nine points on 2-of-8 shooting. Much like the Cavaliers tonight, we're interested in backing the home team because of how much a rowdy crowd can impact those reserve minutes. Players like Doncic, Irving and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander are going to enjoy success no matter where they play. But Dallas' reserve unit was dominant on the road on Thursday and that could be the difference once again on Saturday. Josh Giddey had a plus/minus of -20 in less than 11 minutes of action in Game 2. His 10:46 on the court was the fewest minutes that he's played in any game this season. Oklahoma City is now facing adversity for the first time in quite a while. Thursday's loss was the first in Oklahoma City's last 11 games as they ended the regular season on a five-game win streak then won their first five playoff games (all with relative ease). The Thunder have some concerns with their rotation. Giddey struggles to make open shots, and Chet Holmgren isn't big or strong enough to contend with Daniel Gafford on the post. The longer this series goes, the more advantages the savvy Mavericks are going to be able to expose. 

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