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Dwayne Bryant

Dwayne Bryant

(961) Cincinnati Reds at (962) San Francisco Giants

Event:
(961) Cincinnati Reds at (962) San Francisco Giants
Sport/League:
MLB
Date/Time:
May 10, 2024 10PM EDT
Play Rating:
4%
Odds:
-115
Play:
4% – (961) Cincinnati Reds at (962) San Francisco Giants Total Under 7.0 (-115) A Abbott (LHP), L Webb (RHP) Must Start
Result:
Win
Analysis

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DWAYNE'S RESULTS:

  • #1 Overall ROI (13.7%), #2 Profit (+181.96 units), #2 Win Percentage (58.8%) since 9/18/23
  • 17-4 (81%) on his last 21 MLB plays (+43.74 units and a 56.8% ROI)
  • #1 in Basketball Profit (+125.5 units), #1 in Win Percentage (59.3%) & #1 in ROI (14%) this season (NBA + CBB combined)

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DWAYNE'S RESULTS:

  • #1 Overall ROI (13.7%), #2 Profit (+181.96 units), #2 Win Percentage (58.8%) since 9/18/23
  • 17-4 (81%) on his last 21 MLB plays (+43.74 units and a 56.8% ROI)
  • #1 in Basketball Profit (+125.5 units), #1 in Win Percentage (59.3%) & #1 in ROI (14%) this season (NBA + CBB combined)

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10:15 PM ET -- MLB 

961 Cincinnati Reds 
962 San Francisco Giants

Play: UNDER 7 -115

List Pitchers: Abbott & Webb

Bet Size: 4%

Line Parameters:
4% play at 7 or better 
2% play at 6.5

My MLB plays are determined by statistical data (standard and advanced metrics from fangraphs.com), history involving similar games and situations (researched through the SDQL database), and current market data.  A play is made when enough of these factors align.  The play's size is determined by how many of these factors align, how much value is perceived, and how confident I am about the play.

KEY SITUATIONAL ANGLE(S):

Since 8/1/2022, the UNDER is 13-1 when Logan Webb starts at home and the number of hits he allowed in his previous start is lower than the average number of hits he has allowed per start on the season.

Going back to last season, the UNDER is 10-0 when Logan Webb starts with the line between -135 and -170.

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