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The Gold Sheet

The Gold Sheet

(501) New York Knicks at (502) Indiana Pacers

Event:
(501) New York Knicks at (502) Indiana Pacers
Sport/League:
NBA
Date/Time:
May 10, 2024 7PM EDT
Play Rating:
3%
Odds:
-105
Play:
3% – (501) New York Knicks at (502) Indiana Pacers Indiana Pacers Total Over 115.0 (-105)
Result:
Loss
Analysis

The first two games of this Eastern Conference semifinal have sailed over the total, and most signs point toward a similar tally in Game 3. The Knicks were one of the best defensive teams in the league during the regular season, but almost all of the players that contributed to that mark are now out. Julius Randle has been out for a couple months. Mitchell Robinson will likely miss the rest of the playoffs with an ankle injury suffered earlier in the week. Now the Knicks' best perimeter defender, OG Anunoby, is out with a hamstring injury. Tip your cap to what Tom Thibodeau has done here in the postseason, but his defense-first playbook is going out the window. We haven't even mentioned that Jalen Brunson missed the entire second quarter with a foot injury in New York’s 130-121 Game 2 win. Brunson had his Willis Reed moment in the second half, returning to score 24 of his 29 total points. Anunoby scored 28 points in 28 minutes, and his absence is certain to be felt moving forward. Precious Achiuwa stepped up in Anunoby’s place. playing a playoff-high 28 minutes while scoring eight points on 4-of-5 shooting. How much more adversity can this already short-handed Knicks team handle? The betting market seems to think the buck stops in Indiana tonight as the Pacers have climbed to a seven-point favorite. Anunoby is certainly a capable scorer, but that offensive void can likely be filled by Brunson, Donte DiVincenzo or Josh Hart. However, who can fill Anunoby's void on defense? Both of the opening games in this series flew over the total. Indiana's three home games against Milwaukee in Round 1 saw an average of 232 points per game. 

We wouldn't fault anyone for playing the full-game over, but our preferred selection is on the Pacers' team total over 115. There's certainly a scenario tonight where the Knicks run out of gas and aren't able to contribute toward their share of the total.

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