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Adam Trigger

Adam Trigger

(929) Baltimore Orioles at (930) Cincinnati Reds

(929) Baltimore Orioles at (930) Cincinnati Reds
May 5, 2024 4PM EDT
Play Rating:
4% – Cincinnati Reds -108 D Kremer (RHP), N Lodolo (LHP) Must Start

Went into the weekend taking a position on the Reds in this series so I have to see this out through the finale.

Nick Lodolo looks healthy (started season on IL) and when he's right he's probably the Reds best starting pitcher.  Lodolo comes off an 11 strikeout performance against the Padres to give him 31K in 24 innings pitched at the MLB level this season to go with a 1.88 ERA and 0.88 WHIP.

An interesting scheduling wrinkle gives the Reds an off day on Monday (after they just had one on Thursday) which allowed them to use Nick Martinez in relief of Andrew Abbott yesterday.  That gives the Reds every single one of their high leverage relief pitchers behind Lodolo while the Orioles have needed Yennier Cano and Craig Kimbrel in back to back games.

Baltimore might have won both games but the Orioles have barely scored plating just 5 runs across Friday and Saturday.  Cincinatti hasn't scored at all but I think there's a chance the bats break out against Dean Kremer who is someone I think sees some regression after a hot start.

Even if Kremer is great the Orioles are running out of high leverage options in the later innings and the Reds had the tying run on 3rd yesterday with less than two outs and just couldn't convert.  Cincinatti was one hit away from winning yesterday and I think they get over the hump to salvage the finale here.

Play on Reds -108 for 4% (or 4 units)

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