4% Orlando Team Total Under (1:00 ET): Focusing on the team total market again in Magic-Cavs. ICYMI, I cashed Orlando OVER its TT (100.5) in Game 6. But as you likely already know (or will soon find out!), Game 7’s are usually all about home teams and Unders cashing and that’s not good for the Magic, who are on the road here. Of course, in this series, the home team has won all six games, four of those victories coming by double digits.  My thought here is that (obviously) doesn’t bode well for Orlando, but I’d rather play them Under the TT than lay the points with Cleveland (in case the Cavs put up a “stinker” of their own). 

Orlando has gone Over 100 pts in each of the last four games. But let’s not forget in Games 1 and 2 here in Cleveland they scored just 83 and 89. Not saying they’ll finish with that few here, but it should be pretty close. This team simply isn’t the same on the road as they are at home. I’ve talked about this throughout the series. At home, the Magic are 32-11 SU and 30-13 ATS. On the road, those records drop to 18-26 and 22-20-2. Now obviously this number (team total) is a series low. But the Game 7 history speaks for itself and my opinion is that if the Magic don’t cover here, they’re not getting over 96.5. For the record, since 2000, Game 7 road teams (non-bubble) have lost by an average of 6.2 PPG with the games barely averaging 190 total points.

Again, there is a scenario where the Magic don’t go Over their team total and still win. Cleveland has topped 100 in only ONE game this series. So I like how we’re covered in case of multiple outcomes. But the bottom line is Orlando has shot only 43.4% for the series and has finished 30% or below from three in four of the six games. Game 7 figures to be played at a CRAWL. Both these teams are in the bottom third in the league in pace to begin with. Given Cleveland’s offensive woes in this series, they’re only chance is to have a strong defensive effort in Game 7. 4% Orlando Team Total Under (Play to 95.5)