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Ralph Michaels

Ralph Michaels

(557) Dallas Mavericks at (558) Oklahoma City Thunder

(557) Dallas Mavericks at (558) Oklahoma City Thunder
May 7, 2024 9PM EDT
Play Rating:
5% – Oklahoma City Thunder -148

5% OKC -148 Dallas (Tuesday 9:30 PM)  (line is good to -175 as a 5%. At -175 a team must win 63.6%)

We have OKC at home and rested after a 4 game sweep of the Pelicans as they covered the L3 games of the series by 47.5 points. The Thunder D allowed 38.5%, 45.2%, 38.1% and 37.6%. Thunder are 31-4 SU at home and 23-12 ATS including 11-0 SU with more rest.

The Mavericks finished off the Clippers in 6 games with the series finale last Friday so they are at a 4 day rest deficit. Dallas was just 3-11 SU as a road dog of +2 and higher which includes 0-8 SU versus a team win with a winning record. 

OKC’s biggest question marks are their inexperience and size and being at home lessens one concern while Dallas does not the a height edge. 
Give the starting 5 edge to Dallas but OKC has superior depth.

Luka is playing great but Dort impressed by shutting down Ingram in the last series giving them a solid defensive option. 


Round #2 teams off a sweep versus a team that played at least 5 games have gone 17-3 SU (85%) and 14-6 ATS (70%).

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