Ralph Michaels
(557) Dallas Mavericks at (558) Oklahoma City Thunder
5% OKC -148 Dallas (Tuesday 9:30 PM) (line is good to -175 as a 5%. At -175 a team must win 63.6%)
We have OKC at home and rested after a 4 game sweep of the Pelicans as they covered the L3 games of the series by 47.5 points. The Thunder D allowed 38.5%, 45.2%, 38.1% and 37.6%. Thunder are 31-4 SU at home and 23-12 ATS including 11-0 SU with more rest.
The Mavericks finished off the Clippers in 6 games with the series finale last Friday so they are at a 4 day rest deficit. Dallas was just 3-11 SU as a road dog of +2 and higher which includes 0-8 SU versus a team win with a winning record.
OKC’s biggest question marks are their inexperience and size and being at home lessens one concern while Dallas does not the a height edge.
Give the starting 5 edge to Dallas but OKC has superior depth.
Luka is playing great but Dort impressed by shutting down Ingram in the last series giving them a solid defensive option.
Round #2 teams off a sweep versus a team that played at least 5 games have gone 17-3 SU (85%) and 14-6 ATS (70%).