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Adam Trigger

Adam Trigger

(977) Baltimore Orioles at (978) Cincinnati Reds

Event:
(977) Baltimore Orioles at (978) Cincinnati Reds
Sport/League:
MLB
Date/Time:
May 4, 2024 6PM EDT
Play Rating:
4%
Odds:
-102
Play:
4% – Cincinnati Reds -102 J Means (LHP), A Abbott (LHP) Must Start
Result:
Loss
Analysis

I promise there’s more to this than being stubborn but I’ll be running it back with both Reds and Samsung today/tonight.  For the long winded versions of both see the write ups that I posted yesterday.  I'll provide the additional intel of why I'm willing to take another shot in today's “analysis” section.

Reds was a simple call for me since I've had John Means first start out of AAA rehab circled as a fade spot for a couple weeks now.  Means was horrific at AAA and this wasn't just a “stats” thing because MLB teams aren't looking at guys stat lines.  MLB coaches are evaluating pitch command/effectiveness and Means didn't have much of that as he failed to get out of the first inning on a number of occasions.  

Means finally tossed a 7 inning gem against Gwinnett last week but that Stripers lineup is weak so I'm not buying that all is suddenly right for Means.  There was a start back in early April where means was good against a weak Charlotte lineup but he followed that up by being obliterated by Jacksonville so it's been shaky enough where I'm willing to oppose him in extremely hitter friendly Great American Ball Park.  

The Reds will break out offensively but if that doesn't happen today Cincinnati still has Andrew Abbott on the mound who is a better option than Means.  The Reds also have the nice scheduling wrinkle of having this past Thursday off and being off agian on Monday so they can really unload the high leverage relief arms here (knowing they can follow Lodolo with Nick Martinez tomorrow if they want to).

Maybe I was just wrong on Cole Irvin who was exceptional again last night.  I don't think I'm wrong on Means so I'll try again with the home team.

Play on Reds -102 for 4% (or 4 units)

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