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Adam Trigger

Adam Trigger

(304635) Lotte Giants at (304636) Samsung Lions

Event:
(304635) Lotte Giants at (304636) Samsung Lions
Sport/League:
KBO
Date/Time:
May 4, 2024 4AM EDT
Play Rating:
4%
Odds:
-125
Play:
4% – Samsung Lions -125
Result:
Loss
Analysis

I think the league has figured out Wilkerson to an extent.  I also don’t think Lotte wins three straight especially with the bullpen usage yesterday.  

First off, Samsung blew a 5-0 lead in yesterday's game that they should have won and Ja-Wook Koo didn't play.  I know Koo has been dealing with a back injury but I hadn't heard yesterday was anything more than a needed day of rest so I'm going to hope Koo returns here.

If he doesn't, it's still Lotte who enters 10-22-1 and comes in off back to back wins.  Lotte hasn't won three straight games all season and the Giants play better at home so I doubt that occurs on the road where Lotte is 3-13 this season. Lotte starter 

Aaron Wilkerson can be really good but has been knocked around by most of the teams he's faced this season and I'm thinking he's in the “sophomore slump” which happens to a lot of import pitchers in Year 2 when the league starts to figure them out.  Even if Wilkerson deals we are still probably getting at least 2-3 innings agianst a Lotte bullpen that used just about everyone yesterday and enters with a 5.58 team bullpen ERA.

Samsung hit a home run on their new import players and it's a big reason the Lions enter at 20-14-1.  David McKinnon is hitting .391 with a .989 OPS and Denyi Reyes has settled in nicely coming off his third quality start of the season.  

Samsung didn't use Seung-Hwan Oh yesterday so he will be fresh to close this one out and the one time MLB closer as looked as sharp as he's looked in years.  If Koo plays this is a no brainer, if he doesn't he's likely available to pinch hit in a big spot and I still like the Lions to find a way to win.

Play on Samsung -125 for 4% (or 4 units)

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