Mitchell has only gone over one time this series, and that was his 36 PRA performance last game so this play is 4-1 in the series.  However, the biggest selling point is his lack of production on the road.  In the two road games at Orlando, he had 25 PRA in both games that were blowouts.  The home team has won every game, and if we see another blowout tonight he'll be coming in well under 35.5 PRA again.  This is a trend that goes back to the regular season as well as he's had 29 or fewer PRA in his last 10 road games.  We'll ride the trend of Mitchell not performing well on the road.