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Dwayne Bryant

Dwayne Bryant

(901) Cincinnati Reds at (902) San Diego Padres

Event:
(901) Cincinnati Reds at (902) San Diego Padres
Sport/League:
MLB
Date/Time:
May 1, 2024 4PM EDT
Play Rating:
4%
Odds:
-130
Play:
4% – San Diego Padres -130 G Ashcraft (RHP), J Musgrove (RHP) Must Start
Result:
Win
Analysis

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4:10 PM ET -- MLB 

901 Cincinnati Reds  
902 San Diego Padres

Play: 902 SAN DIEGO -130

List Pitchers: Ashcraft & Musgrove  

Bet Size: 4%

Line Parameters:
4% play at -140 or better
3% play at -141 to -150
2% play at -151 to -155

My MLB plays are determined by statistical data (standard and advanced metrics from fangraphs.com), history involving similar games and situations (researched through the SDQL database), and current market data.  A play is made when enough of these factors align.  The play's size is determined by how many of these factors align, how much value is perceived, and how confident I am about the play. 

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