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Dwayne Bryant

Dwayne Bryant

(919) Philadelphia Phillies at (920) Los Angeles Angels

Event:
(919) Philadelphia Phillies at (920) Los Angeles Angels
Sport/League:
MLB
Date/Time:
April 29, 2024 9PM EDT
Play Rating:
5%
Odds:
-135
Play:
5% – Philadelphia Phillies -135 C Sanchez (LHP), G Canning (RHP) Must Start
Result:
Loss
Analysis

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6:35 PM ET -- MLB 

919 Philadelphia Phillies  
920 Los Angeles Angels

Play: 919 PHILADELPHIA -135

List Pitchers: ACTION  

Bet Size: 5%

Line Parameters:
5% play at -145 or better 
4% play at -146 to -150
3% play at -151 to -155
2% play at -156 to -160

My MLB plays are determined by statistical data (standard and advanced metrics from fangraphs.com), history involving similar games and situations (researched through the SDQL database), and current market data.  A play is made when enough of these factors align.  The play's size is determined by how many of these factors align, how much value is perceived, and how confident I am about the play.

KEY SITUATIONAL ANGLES:

Since 8/4/2022, the Angels are 1-16 at home when the current total is higher than their previous game's total and they won as an underdog in their starter's last start.

Since last season, the Angels are 4-18 against NL opponents that are averaging at least 4.5 runs per game, including 1-7 at home.

The Angels are 2-9 at home this season when the line is -125 to +125.

The Phillies have won 4 straight and 11 of 13, while the Angels have lost 4 straight and 9 of 10.

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