Dwayne Bryant
(953) St. Louis Cardinals at (954) New York Mets
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1:40 PM ET -- MLB
953 St. Louis Cardinals
954 New York Mets
Play: 954 NY METS -120
List Pitchers: ACTION
Bet Size: 4%
Line Parameters:
4% play at -130 or better
3% play at -131 to -140
2% play at -141 to -145
My MLB plays are determined by statistical data (standard and advanced metrics from fangraphs.com), history involving similar games and situations (researched through the SDQL database), and current market data. A play is made when enough of these factors align. The play's size is determined by how many of these factors align, how much value is perceived, and how confident I am about the play.
KEY SITUATIONAL ANGLES:
Play ON teams with a win percentage of better than 27% if they're not a road underdog, it's the last game of a 3-game series in which they have no wins, and they've lost exactly 2 games in a row. 66-39 (62.8%) SU going back to last season.
Since the 2022 season, the METS are 31-8 SU (79.5%) as a regular season favorite of lower than -185 against NL opponents when coming off a loss in which their hitters drew more than 1 walk.
