It's Game 4 between the Pacers and Bucks in Indiana. I'll take the small bit of luck that needed overtime to cash the Pacers team total in Game 3, but I'm also going to go back to the same well again at the same number for a few reasons. In five regular season meetings between these two teams, the Pacers shot 48.2% from the field and 30.5% from beyond the arc while averaging 128.8 points in those five contests. The Pacers still average 125.5 points per game at home. What has been the hiccup is the Pacers shooting, particularly from three-point range. The Bucks allow 118.2 points per game on the road this season. Their defense isn't great, the Pacers are just missing shots at a higher rate than normal shooting just 45.8% for the series. They shot better than 50% from the field on the season and over 51% at home. I'm going to back that positive regression should be enough here. Furthermore, the Pacers were well on their way to clearing their team total through three quarters in the last game. I think that can happen again and they won't have to deal with Giannis or Dame as neither is expected to play. Indiana plays the second fastest pace in the NBA. I think a breakout shooting performance is coming.