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Dave Cokin

Dave Cokin

(903) Milwaukee Brewers at (904) St. Louis Cardinals

Event:
(903) Milwaukee Brewers at (904) St. Louis Cardinals
Sport/League:
MLB
Date/Time:
April 19, 2024 8PM EDT
Play Rating:
3%
Odds:
110
Play:
3% – 1H Milwaukee Brewers -0.5 (+110) F Peralta (RHP), K Gibson (RHP) Must Start
Result:
Win
Analysis

Big edge on the mound with Peralta over Gibson. The Cardinals righty is chewing up innings as he usually does. But his effectiveness has not been there as Gibson has some  dreadful analytics. Peralta has given up a few barrels but his overall data is really good, particularly the .255 xWOBA. Prefer the Brewers offense as well based on the early returns. I can have Milwaukee at a reasonable price here, but I believe the disparity is great enoough to warrant spotting the -0.5 over the F5 and getting a small underdog return in the process.

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