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Jimmy Adams

Jimmy Adams

(977) New York Yankees at (978) Arizona Diamondbacks

Event:
(977) New York Yankees at (978) Arizona Diamondbacks
Sport/League:
MLB
Date/Time:
April 2, 2024 9PM EDT
Play Rating:
3%
Odds:
-111
Play:
3% – Arizona Diamondbacks -111 N Cortes (LHP), Z Gallen (RHP) Must Start
Result:
Win
Analysis

Zac Gallen has been dominant and reliable for a long time. He started the season great, allowing just 1 run over 5 innings in a 16-1 blowout over Colorado. He ranks in the 97th percentile in pitching run value, doesn’t walk many batters, and has a strong K rate. The Diamondbacks have been trending in the right direction for a few years now, and they finally have the offense to back him up. Arizona ranks 5th in batting average, and 4th in both OPS and runs scored. We saw Nestor Cortes struggle out of the gate, allowing 4 earned in the first 2 innings against Houston. He doesn’t miss many bats or get ground balls, and overall his metrics are poor to say the least. New York is overvalued in the betting market due to their record and someone like Cortes who pitches to contact is in for a long night against this Arizona lineup. Take the Diamondbacks. 

3% Play on Diamondbacks (978) at -125 or better, 2% at worse than -125 

 

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