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Kevin Dolan

Kevin Dolan

(561) Phoenix Suns at (562) New Orleans Pelicans

Event:
(561) Phoenix Suns at (562) New Orleans Pelicans
Sport/League:
NBA
Date/Time:
April 1, 2024 8PM EDT
Play Rating:
3%
Odds:
-110
Play:
3% – New Orleans Pelicans +1.0 (-110)
Result:
Loss
Analysis

We're taking the New Orleans Pelicans to win and cover at home on Monday against the Phoenix Suns.

Rapid Breakdown

  • Despite losing two of their last three games overall, we haven't downgraded the Pelicans all that much ahead of this week's update, as in both of those losses New Orleans forced more turnovers and had significantly more fastbreak points than their opponents, Boston and Oklahoma City respectively, in those games despite being heavily outshot from the floor, percentage wise, in both cases.
  • The Suns meanwhile are also coming off two losses from their last three games, but didn't look particularly good in either. The Thunder smashed the Suns by 25 points on Friday night and despite the extra rest factor for Phoenix ahead of this one, their defensive effficiency stats have been miserable across their last three starts, ranking 21st in the league overall.
  • The Pelicans have gone a red-hot 22-8-1 ATS in their last 31 games when coming off a loss, while the Suns are just 8-20 ATS in their last 28 games when facing a team with an above .600 win percentage.

Take the New Orleans Pelicans to win and cover at home on Monday (we usually take anything under +3 on the straight moneyline but it was listed at -110 also) against the Phoenix Suns.

PLAY: NEW ORLEANS PELICANS +1 (-110)

*Line good to ML -140, -141 > [No play]

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