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Jimmy Adams

Jimmy Adams

(907) St. Louis Cardinals at (908) San Diego Padres

Event:
(907) St. Louis Cardinals at (908) San Diego Padres
Sport/League:
MLB
Date/Time:
April 1, 2024 9PM EDT
Play Rating:
3%
Odds:
100
Play:
3% – San Diego Padres +100 K Gibson (RHP), M Waldron (RHP) Must Start
Result:
Loss
Analysis

As the calendar turns to April we see that the Padres have scored the most runs in baseball. There’s an asterisk next to that due to them having played 2 extra games in Korea, but they're also a top 5 team in batting average. Fresh off a 13-4 beatdown of the Giants yesterday, SD opens up a 3 game set at home with St. Louis and we’re getting them at a good price. Matt Waldron gets the start, and we saw him have success against the Cardinals last season despite his limited sample size. He allowed just 1 run on 3 hits in 5.2 innings back in late September. Kyle Gibson is one of my fade candidates to start the year. Although he gets a lot of ground balls, Gibson’s wOBA of .326 and hard hit rate of 44.5% from a season ago is concerning and something the bigger names in this San Diego lineup will be able to take advantage of. Take the Padres. 

3% Play on Padres (908) at -110 or better, 2% at worse than -110 

 

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