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Marco D'Angelo

Marco D'Angelo

(657) NC State at (658) Duke

Event:
(657) NC State at (658) Duke
Sport/League:
CBB
Date/Time:
March 31, 2024 5PM EDT
Play Rating:
4%
Odds:
-110
Play:
4% – Duke -7.0 (-110)
Result:
Loss
Analysis

4% (658) DUKE -7

Line good to -8


NC St is clearly the Cinderella of this years Tournament and they come in to today’s game riding a 8 game winning streak. In that 8 game winning streak they beat Duke in the ACC Tournament. So why do I want Duke today? Well if you go back and look that win was the 1st game of the ACC Tournament as Duke had a bye in the 1st rd and NC ST had already played two games in the Tournament. I feel teams who played a game vs rested teams have an advantage. You will also see Duke’s last game was against N. Carolina in which they lost. We often say teams who lose a Big Game often are flat in the next game. Add in the fact that they just beat NC ST by 15 pts the game before. I feel Duke wasn’t mentally prepared for NC ST in the ACC Tournament but you can bet they will be today. Duke can play fast (preferred style) or can play slow as they did in their Upset of Houston 54-51. My numbers have DUKE Winning by 11-13 points.

 

KEY STAT: DUKE is 14-6 ATS after 1 or more consecutive unders this season

 

KEY STAT: DUKE is 20-11 ATS as a favorite this season

 

TAKE DUKE as my 4% ELITE 8 GAME OF THE WEEK

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