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Adam Trigger

Adam Trigger

(651) Illinois at (652) Connecticut

Event:
(651) Illinois at (652) Connecticut
Sport/League:
CBB
Date/Time:
March 30, 2024 6PM EDT
Play Rating:
4%
Odds:
-112
Play:
4% – Illinois +9.0 (-112)
Result:
Loss
Analysis

I expect this to be +9 (-110) everywhere soon and you should be able to get +9 (-115) at majority of books now.

I do think UCONN could repeat as champs this season but it's hard to believe they just walk to another natty with zero adversity.

We had a 5% play a couple weeks ago taking a similar number with St John's that the Red Storm covered and I think Illinois is a FAR better opponent (while being comparable to the way St John's plays)

Illinois has emerged has one of the top offensive teams in the country (currently 2nd in offensive efficiency) and I'll trade the Illini athleticism on defense for the technical aspect that didn't work at all with San Diego State.

This might be a scenario where we need Illinois to “keep up” but if any team can do it it's them (Illinois had 85+ points in four straight games before putting up 72 on one of the best defenses (Iowa State) in the country). 

Illinois has an outside shot at the upset here, if they don't I think this could FINALLY be an adversity moment for UCONN where they need to make some plays down the stretch to win an close game.

Play on Illinois +9 (-112) for 4% (or 4 units)

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