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Pavlos Laguretos

Pavlos Laguretos

(203205) AS Monaco at (203206) FC Metz

Event:
(203205) AS Monaco at (203206) FC Metz
Sport/League:
FL1
Date/Time:
March 30, 2024 12PM EDT
Play Rating:
1%
Odds:
115
Play:
1% – REGULATION Over 4.5 Cards +115
Result:
Loss
Analysis

Metz vs Monaco
Ligue 1, Saturday, 12pm ET

Play: Over 4.5 Cards
Odds at Time of Release: +115
Line Parameter: Playable to +105

Monaco have the most cards in the Ligue 1 this season with 64 in 26 matches (an average of 2.46/match), and the most cards in away matches with 37 in 13 (an average of 2.85/away match). 

Monaco also have the 2nd most Red Cards this season with 5, and the 2nd most Red Cards on the road with 4. 
Referee Wattellier has the highest card average in the Ligue 1 this season, with an average of 5.5 cards/match, having awarded 51 yellow cards and 5 red cards in 11 matches in the Ligue 1 this season. 

He has officiated two Monaco matches this season, giving red cards in Monaco's opponents in both matches, for a total of 7 and 11 cards respectively. Taking two equal bets (1u), first one on Monaco Over 2.5 Cards (+120) and the second one on the Over 4.5 Cards (+115). At these odds, we turn a profit if one of two hit, although I think we hit both (and maybe take a look at the Red Card at +340

 

Taking 1u on Monaco Over 2.5 Cards +120

Taking 1u on Over 4.5 Cards +115
 

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