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Dwayne Bryant

Dwayne Bryant

(653) Clemson at (654) Alabama

Event:
(653) Clemson at (654) Alabama
Sport/League:
CBB
Date/Time:
March 30, 2024 8PM EDT
Play Rating:
5%
Odds:
-110
Play:
5% – (653) Clemson at (654) Alabama 1H Total Under 78.0 (-110)
Result:
Win
Analysis

8:49 PM ET -- College Basketball  

653 Clemson 
654 Alabama

Play 1H UNDER 78 (-110)

Bet Size: 5%

Line Parameters:
5% play at 77 or better 
4% play at 76.5
3% play at 76
2% play at 75.5

My college hoops totals plays are determined by relevant statistical data from KenPom.com, history involving similar games (researched using the powerful SDQL database), and current market data.  A play is made when enough of these factors align.  The play's size is determined by how many of these factors align, how much value is perceived, and how confident I am about the play.

KEY NCAA-WIDE SITUATIONAL ANGLE:

Play 1H UNDER in neutral court games with the 1H total between 75.5 to 80.5 if it's at least the team's 15th game of the season and both teams are shooting at least 73% from the free-throw line on the season.  26-6 (81.2%).

KEY TEAM-SPECIFIC SITUATIONAL ANGLE:

The 1H UNDER is 11-2 this season when Clemson faces a team that is outscoring their opponents by at least 8 points per game on the season.  Average 1H Points = 65.5

The 1H UNDER is 6-0 this season when Clemson is coming off a SU win as an underdog.  Average 1H Points = 63

The 1H UNDER is 7-0 this season when Clemson is coming off 4 straight games in which they committed 11 or fewer turnovers.  Average 1H Points = 65.9

The 1H UNDER is 8-1 over the last 3 seasons when Alabama is playing on no more than one days rest. 

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