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Pavlos Laguretos

Pavlos Laguretos

(201213) Juventus at (201214) Lazio

Event:
(201213) Juventus at (201214) Lazio
Sport/League:
ISAL
Date/Time:
March 30, 2024 1PM EDT
Play Rating:
3%
Odds:
-125
Play:
3% – (201213) Juventus at (201214) Lazio REGULATION Total Over 2.0 (-125)
Result:
Loss
Analysis

Lazio vs Juventus
Serie A, Saturday, 1pm ET

Play: Over 2 Goals
Odds at Time of Release: -125
Line Parameter: Playable to -135

Lazio just changed their coach, swapping a very defensive-minded Maurizio Sarri with a more offensive-minded Igor Tudor, so take all their seasonal stats with a grain of salt, because their profile will change. 

Lazio are coming off a 3-2 win against Frosinone and are now on a 7-3 run to the Over 2.5 Goals, with only two matches in that span producing 1 or no goals. Juventus have also opened up lately, currently on a 4-1 run to the Over 2.5 goals and on a 5-1 run to the Over 2.5 goals on the road. 

The reverse fixture had 4 goals, and now just 1 of L/13 H2H matches had 1 goal or fewer. In fact, these two are on a 4-1 run to the Over 2.5 Goals, while each of L/5 H2H matches in this venue had 2 goals or more. 

With Lazio changing their coach and their tactics, I expect to see more open matches from them. Keep in mind that these two will face each other in the semi-finals of the Coppa Italia on Tuesday, so there's bound to be some distraction and maybe some mind-games involving the two coaches. But all things considered, taking the Over 2 Goals is perceived as a very safe way to approach this match.

Take 3u on the Over 2 Goals (-125)
 

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