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Marco D'Angelo

Marco D'Angelo

(635) Alabama at (636) North Carolina

Event:
(635) Alabama at (636) North Carolina
Sport/League:
CBB
Date/Time:
March 28, 2024 9PM EDT
Play Rating:
4%
Odds:
-108
Play:
4% – Alabama +4.5 (-108)
Result:
Win
Analysis

4% (635) ALABAMA +4.5
 

Line good to +3.5


The public is back on the N. Carolina band wagon after they rolled over Michigan St. N. Carolina likes to go up and down the court and that wasn’t Michigan St style of basketball and they couldn’t keep up. Michigan State tried to slow the pace was unsuccessful. So why am I not concerned that the same thing won’t happen tonight? Well because that is exactly the style that Alabama likes and will be able to run the floor with N. Carolina. But as we saw in Alabama’s last game they can play slow as well. Grand Canyon slowed the pace but Alabama was still able to advance even while not playing their preferred style. I feel this line is too high as N. Carolina was -4 to Michigan St and now -4.5 to Alabama. Alabama in my opinion is a much better team than Michigan State. So we are getting line value here tonight. My numbers have ALABAMA Winning by 1-3 points.
 

KEY STAT: ALABAMA is 24-14 ATS following a Win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons

 

TAKE ALABAMA as my 4% SWEET 16 UNDERDOG GAME OF THE WEEK

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