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(907) Pittsburgh Pirates at (908) Miami Marlins

Event:
(907) Pittsburgh Pirates at (908) Miami Marlins
Sport/League:
MLB
Date/Time:
March 28, 2024 4PM EDT
Play Rating:
3%
Odds:
119
Play:
3% – Pittsburgh Pirates +119 M Keller (RHP) Must Start
Result:
Win
Analysis

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3% Take Pittsburgh (#907) (listing Keller)

The Pirates won on opening day last year and let’s not forget their 20-8 start to the season; the first nine of which all came at a plus price with the Pirates as underdogs – Derek Shelton had them ready.  And it’s surely worth noting that Pittsburgh played above .500 over the last two months of the season (29-28, with 20 of those wins coming at a plus price).  Reigning NL Manager of the Year Skip Shumaker did NOT have his team ready on opening day last year as they started the season 1-4 at home, while scoring three runs or less in each of those contests.  I’m expecting a comparable script here in 2024.

The Pirates went 4-1 last April with Mitch Keller on the hill, and Keller threw five consecutive quality starts coming right out of Spring Training – he was ready.  It’s certainly worth noting that Keller held the Marlins to one run on five hits in seven innings of work in his only start on this field last year.   Jesus Luzardo is coming off a career high 32 starts and 178 innings last year; only getting the opening day start because Miami is likely to open the season with four starting pitchers on the DL.  Live dog here on opening day!  Take the Pirates.

Line Parameter: 3% at +110 or higher, 2% at +109 or lower

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