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Pavlos Laguretos

Pavlos Laguretos

(225601) Greece at (225602) Georgia

Event:
(225601) Greece at (225602) Georgia
Sport/League:
SOC
Date/Time:
March 26, 2024 1PM EDT
Play Rating:
1%
Odds:
-122
Play:
1% – PARLAY Georgia/Greece 5 or more Cards & Wales/Poland 6 or more cards -122
Result:
Loss
Analysis

PARLAY: Georgia/Greece 5 or more Cards & Wales/Poland 6 or more cards
Odds at Time of Release: -122
Line Parameter: Playable to -130

Georgia vs Greece
EURO Qualifiers, Tuesday, 1pm ET

Tensions are HIGH in this last match that will decide which team is going to the EUROs in June, as Georgia will host Greece on Tuesday. Georgia beat Luxembourg by 2-0 in a match that had 12 cards (and 1 red), while Greece blasted Kazakhstan by a massive 5-0 in a match that had 5 cards. Cards were a common thing in almost all EURO Qualifiers last week, as the Wales/Finland match had 7 cards, the match between Bosnia & Herzegovina and Ukraine had 8 cards, while the matches between Israel and Iceland and the one between Poland and Estonia both had red cards. 

There is a reason for that, because teams are absolutely fighting to the death for a spot in the EUROs. And now we are one step closer to that, and tensions will continue to be high. 

We are looking at cards here, with referee Marciniak being a very card-friendly referee. Oddly enough, he also officiated a Georgia vs Greece match back in 2021 for the World Cup Qualifiers, awarding 7 cards. And matches between Georgia and Greece have produced a lot of cards in recent years, with the two teams meeting twice for the World Cup Qualifiers in 2021, and twice for the EURO Qualifiers back in 2010-11. Card totals in those matches were 7/7/5/5. 

What's also interesting is that Georgia's holding midfielder Jaba Kankava has been carded in each of L/3 matches against Greece. He is 38 years old now and he doesn't start a lot of matches, but he did get subbed in at the 86th minute of Georgia's match against Luxembourg and got carded the very next minute. His job is to hack down enemy attackers, and he is at -115 to be carded (whether he starts or not). 

Card Totals in Georgia's L/5 home matches: 12/6/3/7/5
Georgia's Card Totals in L/5 home matches: 4/3/2/5/3

Take 5 or more cards as the first leg of our parlay (this is essentially an Over 4.5 Cards)

Wales vs Poland
EURO Qualifiers, Tuesday, 3:45pm ET

Wales got Over 2.5 Cards in each of L/3 competitive matches, and in 4 of L/6 home matches. That includes another match against Poland in which they got 4 cards. 

Poland got 4 cards away at the Faroe Islands, 6 cards away at Albania, zero cards against lowly Moldova and the Czech Republic, 3 cards away at Wales, 5 cards away at the Netherlands. 

Both teams get their fair share of cards, and again, this match is like a Final, in the sense that the stakes are high since the winner of this match will go to the EUROs this summer, while the loser will stay at home and watch the EUROs from the couch. 

Take 6 or more cards as the second leg of our parlay (this is Over 5.5 Cards)

 

1u PARLAY: [Georgia/Greece 5 or more cards] & [Wales/Poland 6 or more cards] -122 at FanDuel

 

Note: This is essentially a parlay with Over 4.5 Cards in Georgia/Greece and Over 5.5 Cards in Wales/Poland
 

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