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(513) Milwaukee Bucks at (514) Indiana Pacers  (Game Analysis Below) 

Play Rating: 4% 

Play Type: Full Game Total

Play: Total Over 214.0 (-110)

Date/Time: Apr 10, 2024 7:40 PM / Line Provider: Consensus Line

 4% Milwaukee @ Indiana

Everything Indiana PG Tyrese Haliburton said prior to last game stands true for each of the four results in this series. "Game 1, I felt like they dictated the tempo. I would say the story of the last three games is that we have. "In a world and a league that says, ‘Oh, you can't play fast in the playoffs,' we don't really believe in that. We're going to be who we are and put our identity and our imprint on every game." Indiana didn’t resemble themselves for the final 3 quarters of Game #4 and Milwaukee played an inspired contest pushing the series back to Gainbridge Fieldhouse. With the series clearly blueprinted heading into Game #6 the decision becomes which side will impose their will and dictate tonight’s pace. Choice here is Indiana for a trio of reasons. A) Pacers bounce back ability has been proven in this series. In Game #1 when Indiana had inexperienced playoff road jitters they adjusted and responded with a 125 point performance in 17 point rout. They appeared to have those same playoff road inexperienced jitters in their first ever “close out” opportunity. Figure those to be gone now and mental toughness becomes a new quality. B) Milwaukee not known for their defensive ability this season or the majority of this series and solid possibility Tuesday night was just an adrenaline home crowd aided one off. Not sure Bucks can go on the road and repeat that effort after viewing earlier pair of results here. C) They still don’t prefer to play slow down basketball which benefits the Pacers need to run. Milwaukee took 84 shots the other night which is just 3 less than their series average (87). Running back at Indiana was an intentional piece of their offense and likely will continue to be tonight. They’ve now scored 113 & 115 in back-back outings with Giannis & Dame on the bench injured. Milwaukee has been right there offensively and the Pacers remain a poor defensive team that wants to outscore opponents. Those three ingredients should ensure that Indiana’s high octane offense returns in this spot. Teams have combined to average 466 potential points per game in this series and they’ve scored 48% of them which equates to a final total of 223. That’s 9 above asking price and adds another solid component pointing toward “over”.  

Play: Milwaukee @ Indiana OVER 214