Real Madrid vs Chelsea Expert Prediction and Picks | UEFA Champions League Betting April 12
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Sportsmemo soccer handicapper Nick Borrman gives his prediction and picks for this Real Madrid vs Chelsea UEFA Champions League match before start time at 11:30am ET Sunday, coming from Santiago Bernabéu Stadium in Madrid, Spain. This is the first of two legs between these two in their UEFA Champions League quarterfinal.
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Real Madrid vs Chelsea Betting Odds
| Wednesday, April 12 | UEFA Champions League Betting Notes |
|---|---|
| Chelsea: | +400 |
| Real Madrid: | -140 |
| Draw: | +280 |
| Total: | 2.5 Goals (Odds Above Courtesy of DraftKings) |
| Game Time: | 3:00pm ET / 12:00pm PT |
Real Madrid vs Chelsea Betting Analysis
Chelsea continues to play “Potter-ball” despite the ex-manager no longer being on the sidelines as Frank Lampard has returned to the role as Chelsea caretaker, even if only for the remainder of this season.
It certainly was an interesting decision given the fact that Potter was never really given a chance to succeed in London as no manager can make impactful change in just a few months’ time.
Still, even though they hadn’t turned a corner in the Premier League, here they are in the quarterfinals of the Champions League, so something was working.
I previewed Chelsea’s match vs Wolves last weekend as a great spot to buy on Wolverhampton. Chelsea seemingly has nothing left to play for in the EPL and their entire season rests on their results in the Champions League. However, Real Madrid are going to cause them a lot of problems.
Real Madrid Making Moves
Real Madrid is in a similar position as they are 13 points back of Barcelona in La Liga and relatively safe in the Top-4, 12 points ahead of Villarreal in the 5th position in the table.
They too were in a look ahead spot and lost at home to Villarreal which was only their 2nd loss at the Bernabeu all season, the other coming against Barcelona in the Copa del Rey.
In La Liga play, Madrid have scored 34 goals on a nearly identical 34.5 xG this season while allowing just 12 goals on 11.5 xGA.
In the Champions League group stage, they won all three matches, scoring nine while conceding two, then of course finished off Liverpool 1-0 in the last round after racing out to a 5-2 lead at Anfield.
Chelsea Must Improve on Road
We know the struggles that Liverpool has had this season, but Chelsea has certainly had their struggles as well and sit behind Liverpool in the EPL table. Away from Stamford Bridge, they have really struggled scoring just 13 goals in 15 matches.
You can argue perhaps they should have scored a few more as they have generated 17.6 xG, but they are still in the negative differential as they have allowed 19 goals on 21.0 xGA.
Real Madrid vs Chelsea Expert Prediction
When it comes to the Champions League and big-time matches, the biggest Clubs in the world need big-time finishers.
Chelsea has clearly struggled to find that guy over the last several seasons as they have tried unsuccessfully to find one starting with Timo Werner to Kai Havertz to Raheem Sterling and even Joao Felix.
Meanwhile, Real Madrid has one of the best finishers in Champions League history and I believe he will once again be the difference maker in this Leg 1 clash.
Prediction: Real Madrid -140
Soccer Betting Tips
New to betting on soccer? Not familiar with all the wagering options, such as three-way betting and the Asian handicap? What stats should a novice soccer bettor focus on? What are some basic soccer betting tips and strategies? Carmine Bianco and Nick Borrman joined Kelly Stewart to share some tips to novice soccer bettors.
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About The Author
Nick Borrman fell in love with professional ‘football’ (as anyone outside of the United States would refer to it) the first time he attended an MLS game seven years ago.
Now, he uses statistical analysis as well as current trends to successfully find value on soccer matches across the globe.
Borrman focuses much of his attention on the Premier League, La Liga, Ligue 1, Bundesliga and Serie A, as well as the most prestigious tournament of them all, the Champions League.
Of course, you can’t forget the fast-growing MLS which finishes the year-round soccer schedule through the summer months in North America.
Borrman derives many of his plays from his model forecasts and releases plays several days ahead of time to consistently beat line moves.
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