Home Run Prop Picks, Predictions and Odds 6/9/22
Today’s MLB Home Run Prop Bets For June 9
We struck out yesterday as the teams involving both home run picks only scored a combined one run. WagerTalk content contributor Kyle Kargel provides his daily home run prop picks and predictions for Thursday, June 9 with odds provided by FanDuel.
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Home Run Prop Prediction 1: Aaron Judge (+210)
We have yet to make the league leader in home runs a selection for our daily home run prop pick, but that comes to an end today.
Aaron Judge’s numbers against Twins starter Dylan Bundy are hard to ignore as he’s 5-19 with three home runs. The Yankees were surprisingly limited as a team last night on offense only scoring one run.
So, they’ll look to pick it back up tonight as Bundy sports a 5.57 ERA and has given up four home runs in his last three starts. The Twins haven’t won in any of his starts since April 23.
He’s also terrible at night with a 7.64 ERA in 17.2 innings pitched. The only thing that may make us pump the brakes with feasting on Bundy is his 0.57 ERA at home in three starts but two of those came in the first three weeks of the season.
Judge is a safe pick with +210 odds, but if you’re looking for some more value for this game, consider Giancarlo Stanton (+280) or Anthony Rizzo (+430).
Home Run Prop Prediction 2: Salvador Perez (+330)
Salvador Perez is far off from the numbers he put up last season including 48 home runs. This season he has eight and his average is significantly lower than last season.
He has a .202 season average but has been slightly better in June hitting .269 so far this month. He hit home runs in consecutive days on June 4th and 5th showing signs of finding his groove. He’s a much better hitter as a DH and five of his eight home runs have come when he’s listed as such in the line up.
In his career against Orioles starter Jordan Lyles he’s 2-11 with both hits being home runs. Yes the Royals are the worst team in the league but they’re going against a pitcher tonight who hasn’t given up less than three runs in three straight starts.
Lyles is terrible on the road as well with a ballooning 6.03 ERA and all seven home runs he’s given up this season have been on the road. Get Perez at +330, but if you want to take advantage of this matchup with more value, consider rookie Bobby Witt Jr. (+610) or Hunter Dozier (+540).
Interested in placing a home run prop bet? Caesars Sports is offering up to a $1,500 match bet for first-time deposits in New Jersey, West Virginia, Colorado, Indiana, Iowa, Michigan, Virginia, Tennessee, Arizona, New York and Louisiana.
First Pitch | MLB Betting Preview for June 9
Join Drew Martin and a rotating panel of guests for First Pitch as we break down the daily baseball slate from a betting perspective every weekday at 1:45pm ET / 10:45am PT for First Pitch discussing the MLB betting slate.
Daily MLB Game Previews From WagerTalk and Sportsmemo
Read up on betting previews on daily MLB games from handicappers here at WagerTalk and over at Sportsmemo. We help guide you in your betting providing free written breakdowns for various games. See our previews for today’s games now!
WagerTalk Live Odds Screen
WagerTalk’s live odds screen features up-to-the-minute lines from a variety of offshore and domestic sports books. Track the MLB moneylines, run lines and betting percentages for all of Thursday’s baseball games.
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