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Purdue vs Michigan State Picks – Friday College Football Predictions 11/22/24

Purdue vs Michigan State College Football Picks

The Purdue Boilermakers travel to East Lansing to take on the Michigan State Spartans under the Friday night lights in this Big Ten showdown.

With Purdue enduring a challenging season and Michigan State striving for bowl eligibility, this matchup is critical for both programs. Here’s an in-depth analysis with predictions and betting insights for this nationally televised game.

Game Details

Date: Friday, November 22, 2024
Time: 8:00 PM ET / 5:00 PM PT
Broadcast: FOX
Location: Spartan Stadium in East Lansing, MI

Spread: Michigan State -14 | Total: 48.5

Team Overview and Season Performance

Purdue (1-9)

Tough Season: Purdue has struggled significantly this season, entering the game with a 1-9 record overall and 2-8 against the spread. They’ve lost nine straight games and have failed to cover the spread in their last four matchups.

Defensive Woes: The Boilermakers have given up 94 points in their last two games combined, facing powerhouses Penn State and Ohio State. Their inability to stop opponents highlights significant defensive challenges.

Offensive Inefficiency: Purdue’s offense has also struggled to produce consistent scoring, making it difficult for them to compete against well-rounded teams like Michigan State.

Michigan State (4-6)

Bowl Eligibility at Stake: Michigan State enters the game with a 4-6 record, needing two wins in their final games to secure bowl eligibility. This adds extra motivation for the Spartans, especially with a favorable schedule that includes a winnable game against Rutgers next week.

Mixed Performances: The Spartans have had an up-and-down season, with notable wins like their victory over Iowa but also disappointing losses to Boston College. However, they remain a more balanced and disciplined team compared to Purdue.

Home Field Advantage: Playing at Spartan Stadium on a Friday night provides a strong atmosphere for Michigan State, further boosting their chances of covering the spread.

Key Matchup Analysis

Defensive Matchup: Purdue’s defensive struggles make them vulnerable to Michigan State’s balanced offensive attack. The Spartans average 6.2 yards per play, which should exploit Purdue’s weak defense.

Motivation and Momentum: Michigan State’s push for bowl eligibility and Purdue’s apparent struggles to compete late in the season give the Spartans a significant psychological and practical advantage.

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Betting Predictions and Picks

Spread PickMichigan State -14
Michigan State is well-positioned to win by two touchdowns or more, given Purdue’s defensive woes and lack of offensive production. Look for the Spartans to dominate at home.

Total PointsUnder 48.5
While Michigan State is likely to control the game, Purdue’s offensive struggles could lead to a lower-scoring affair. Betting on the under is a strong play, considering Purdue’s inability to put up significant points in recent weeks.

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Conclusion

The Purdue vs Michigan State game offers an opportunity for the Spartans to solidify their push for bowl eligibility.

Michigan State’s home-field advantage, balanced offense, and Purdue’s significant defensive struggles make the Spartans a strong pick to cover the -14 spread.

Additionally, the under on total points is worth considering, as Purdue’s lack of offensive production could keep the game below the set total. Expect Michigan State to shine in this Friday night Big Ten showdown.

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Stay updated on the latest college football betting insights and predictions at Wagertalk.com, where we provide expert analysis throughout the 2024-2025 college football season.

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