Cowboys vs Eagles Prediction, Picks & Odds

Two straight weeks have passed without a single NFC East team winning a game, and on Monday night, somebody finally has to break the streak. The Dallas Cowboys and Philadelphia Eagles both enter at 2-4 and both are riding losing streaks, but only one of these teams can consistently move the football.

With Jalen Hurts lost for the season and Tanner McKee back under center for a Philadelphia offense that has fallen off a cliff, this Cowboys vs Eagles showdown looks like a spot to trust the better offense. If you are searching for sharp free NFL picks for Monday Night Football, here is why Dallas is the side to back.

Cowboys vs Eagles Quick Picks and Prediction

Spread Pick: Dallas Cowboys -4.5 (-108)
Total Pick: Under 43.5 (-108)
Projected Final Score: Cowboys 24, Eagles 16

Odds and Line Movement for Cowboys vs Eagles

This spread has undergone a massive swing. Philadelphia opened as a 1.5-point favorite, but the number flipped all the way to Dallas -5.5 before settling at Cowboys -4.5, where it has held for over a week with only minor changes to the juice. The total has toggled between 43.5 and 44.5 repeatedly and currently sits at 43.5. Check the latest live odds before kickoff, as both numbers have been active.

Opening Odds – Dallas vs Philadelphia

Team	Spread	Total
Dallas Cowboys	+1.5 (-115)	Over 44.5 (-102)
Philadelphia Eagles	-1.5 (-105)	Under 44.5 (-118)

Current Odds – DAL vs PHI

Team	Spread	Total
Dallas Cowboys	-4.5 (-108)	Over 43.5 (-112)
Philadelphia Eagles	+4.5 (-112)	Under 43.5 (-108)

Line Movement – Spread

Date	Dallas	Philadelphia
10/26	-4.5 (-108)	+4.5 (-112)
10/25	-4.5 (-112)	+4.5 (-108)
10/25	-4.5 (-108)	+4.5 (-112)
10/19	-4.5 (-112)	+4.5 (-108)
10/19	-4.5 (-108)	+4.5 (-112)
10/18	-4.5 (-112)	+4.5 (-108)
10/18	-4.5 (-110)	+4.5 (-110)
10/18	-5.5 (-110)	+5.5 (-110)
10/13	+1.5 (-115)	-1.5 (-105)

Line Movement – Total

Date	Over	Under
10/26	43.5 (-112)	43.5 (-108)
10/26	43.5 (-115)	43.5 (-105)
10/25	43.5 (-118)	43.5 (-102)
10/25	44.5 (-102)	44.5 (-118)
10/25	43.5 (-118)	43.5 (-102)
10/25	44.5 (-102)	44.5 (-118)
10/25	43.5 (-118)	43.5 (-102)
10/25	44.5 (-102)	44.5 (-118)
10/25	43.5 (-118)	43.5 (-102)
10/25	44.5 (-102)	44.5 (-118)
10/25	43.5 (-118)	43.5 (-102)
10/25	44.5 (-102)	44.5 (-118)
10/25	43.5 (-118)	43.5 (-102)
10/25	44.5 (-102)	44.5 (-118)
10/25	43.5 (-118)	43.5 (-102)
10/25	44.5 (-102)	44.5 (-118)
10/25	43.5 (-118)	43.5 (-102)
10/25	44.5 (-102)	44.5 (-118)

Key Matchups and Handicap: Cowboys vs Eagles

Both of these teams are coming off back-to-back losses, and both sit at 2-4 in a division where no team has won in the last two weeks. That makes this Monday night meeting a must-have game for each side.

Still, a closer look reveals two teams heading in very different directions on the offensive side of the ball. Dallas is a bad defensive team, and that is the main reason the Cowboys are 2-4 this season. However, they are getting a very manageable matchup against an Eagles offense that may currently be the worst in football.

Philadelphia’s Offense Has Hit Bottom

The biggest blow for the Eagles is the loss of Jalen Hurts for the season due to a blood clot. That leaves Tanner McKee, a third-year quarterback out of Stanford with limited NFL experience, to start once again.

McKee looked bad last week against the Carolina Panthers, and Carolina is far from an elite defense. The Panthers allowed more than 50 points to the Chicago Bears earlier this season.

The numbers paint a grim picture. Philadelphia managed just 3.8 yards per play against Carolina, only 4.0 yards per play the week before against Jacksonville, and just 3.2 yards per play against the Rams. The Eagles were reportedly struggling to implement a new offensive system during training camp, and those issues have carried over into the regular season.

Even Philadelphia’s wins have been unconvincing. The Eagles barely beat the Commanders by two points and edged a bad Tennessee team on the road by four. They lost by 20 to Chicago, allowing 27 points and losing outright as a road favorite.

The four-point loss to the Rams was extremely misleading, as Philadelphia was outgained 5.5 to 3.2 yards per play and 415 to 172 in total yards. Against Jacksonville, the Eagles were outgained 6.2 to 4.0 yards per play and by nearly 180 yards. Last week against Carolina, they were outgained by more than 170 yards and by almost two yards per play.

Dallas Takes a Step Down in Class

Dallas comes into this game in a focused spot after back-to-back losses. The Cowboys fell to Tampa Bay in a bad Thursday night performance and then lost on the road to a really good Green Bay team. Both of those opponents featured good defenses, so facing Philadelphia represents a step down in class for the Cowboys.

The Eagles do still have a good defense, but that unit is likely to spend a lot of time on the field again because the offense cannot sustain drives.

Over the course of four quarters, that workload should wear Philadelphia’s defense down. Dallas can put up points, and the Cowboys hold a substantial offensive edge in this matchup. When two struggling teams meet, the side with the offense that can actually move the football is the one to trust.

Betting Trends: DAL vs PHI

Philadelphia has lost four straight games and is 2-4 straight-up and 1-5 against the spread this season.
The Eagles’ only cover this season came in a loss as an underdog against Jacksonville.
Philadelphia went 0-3 straight-up and against the spread in the preseason, making the Eagles 1-8 ATS since August.
Dallas is 2-4 this season and enters on back-to-back losses.
No NFC East team has won a game in each of the last two weeks.
The spread has moved from Philadelphia -1.5 at open to Dallas -4.5.
Current public betting data shows 67% of the money and 69% of the bets on Dallas against the spread.
On the total, 76% of the money and 66% of the bets are on the Over.

Key Injuries and Notes: DAL vs PHI

Philadelphia quarterback Jalen Hurts is out for the season with a blood clot.
Tanner McKee, a third-year quarterback from Stanford, will make another start for the Eagles.
Eagles running back Saquon Barkley has been upgraded to available and could return, though his health status remains to be seen.
Dallas is coming off losses to Tampa Bay on Thursday night and to Green Bay on the road.
Philadelphia has averaged 4.0 yards per play or fewer in each of its last three games.

ATS and Total Picks: Cowboys vs Eagles

The Eagles remain overrated in the betting market because of their recent success, including a Super Bowl championship a couple of years ago. That reputation no longer matches what is happening on the field. Philadelphia is getting badly outgained on a weekly basis, and with McKee at quarterback, there is little reason to expect a turnaround. Dallas -4.5 is the play, and the Cowboys are also the moneyline pick.

On the total, the Eagles’ offense has been unable to generate yards or sustain drives, which should limit the overall scoring in this game. Even with Dallas capable of putting up points, Philadelphia’s inability to contribute its share makes the Under 43.5 the preferred side.

ATS Pick: Dallas Cowboys -4.5 (-108)
Total Pick: Under 43.5 (-108)

Cowboys vs Eagles Best Bets

Best Bet: Dallas Cowboys -4.5 (-108)
Total: Under 43.5 (-108)

Dallas has the defensive flaws, but Philadelphia has the bigger problem. With a backup quarterback, a stalled offense and a defense likely to wear down from extended time on the field, the Eagles are in a tough spot to keep pace. Lay the points with the Cowboys on Monday night.