New to betting on soccer? Not familiar with all the wagering options, such as Asian Handicap? We have you covered with our "How to Bet on Soccer Cheat Sheet"!
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Follow Borrman on Twitter @Borrman00 for updates on teams, schedules, injuries and more as well as access to his Free Picks.
Check out Borrman on WagerTalkTV for his weekly soccer and golf shows
⚽2020-21 Soccer Season Records
🏴England Premier League: 24-22 +9.60%
🇪🇸Spain La Liga: 25-14 +41.78%
🇩🇪Germany Bundesliga: 32-32 -16.35%
🇮🇹Italy Serie A: 23-19 -3.05%
🇫🇷France Ligue 1: 20-21 -14.85%
🇳🇱Netherlands Eredivisie: 18-22 -21.15%
🇵🇹Portugal Primeira Liga: 13-12 +2.40%
🏴England Championship: 6-7 -4.60%
🇪🇺UEFA Champions League: 19-29 -54.93%
🇪🇺UEFA Europa League: 20-15 +9.65%
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EUROPE TOTAL: 201-198 -64.55%
🇺🇸USA MLS: 38-32 +29.60%
🇧🇷Brazil Serie A: 26-29 -2.63%
🇦🇷Argentina Copa Diego Maradona: 10-2 +25.30%
🇲🇽Mexico Liga MX: 29-26 +2.30%
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AMERICAS TOTAL: 103-89 +54.58%
⛳Outright Cashes since PGA Tour Restart in June
12/13 QBE Shootout - Harris English/Matt Kuchar +750
12/6 Mayakoba Golf Classic - Viktor Hovland +2500
8/30 BMW Championship - Jon Rahm +1000
8/9 PGA Championship - Collin Morikawa +3500
8/2 Barracuda Championship - Richie Werenski +3300
7/12 Workday Charity Open - Collin Morikawa +3300
⚽General Soccer Wagering Info:
3-Way Betting: You can bet the home team, the away team, or the draw. Betting either team would be the equivalent of taking the -0.5 goal line spread which is also the same as the ML (moneyline).
2-Way Betting: Eliminates the draw as an option and if the game ends in a draw, your bet is voided/refunded. Listed as +0 or PK (pick).
Asian Handicap: This is the same as traditional sports where you see lines at -0.5 or -1, however, you may also see quarter-goal lines and they can be on the spread or total. Essentially a quarter-goal line is splitting your wager into two wagers on the half point on either side of that spread. For example, if you wager on a team at -0.75, you are actually placing half your wager on -0.5 and half your wager on -1. A win by two goals or more would result in a full win, a win by one goal would result in a half-win (you win the -0.5 portion of the bet, but push on the -1 portion) and a draw or loss would result in a full loss.
⛳General Golf Wagering Info:
Head to Head Matchups: Tournament Matchups (all four rounds) and Single Round Matchups. Tournament Matchup Play are graded based on the total score of the tournament. If one player misses the cut and the other player makes the cut, the player that made the cut wins the bet regardless of final score (which could end up worse than the player that missed the cut). If both players miss the cut, whoever has the lower score thru two rounds wins. If both players end with the same score, the wager is graded as a push.
Outright Winner and Leaderboard Bets: I include my selections on each of these for every Tournament. These plays are generally 2% or below as you have to play several selections to give yourself a chance of cashing a BIG ticket.
🎾General Tennis Wagering Info:
Head to Head Matchups: This is where I make most of my plays. One player to beat another player, O/U Total Games played, Game Lines and Set Lines are all popular ways to bet daily matchups.
Outright Winner, Tournament Progress and Quarter Winner Bets: I don't play these markets in every tournament but more so in the majors where the Tournaments are longer and payouts are better.
Today’s Free Picks
| Sport | Game Selection | Game Time |
|---|---|---|
| SOC | Napoli at Hellas Verona | 9:00am EST - Jan 24/2021 |
The PLAY: Napoli (-140)
Italy Serie A
Napoli lead Serie A with the best xG differential at +1.22 per game. They come in off a 0-2 loss on Wednesday against Juventus in the Super Cup and were clearly upset about missing out a that trophy. I see this as a great bounce back spot for them against Verona whom they have beaten in seven straight meetings, most recently in June of last year, winning 2-0 at Verona.
Verona is a solid mid-table team with a 7-6-5 record and +5 goal differential. In a very top heavy league as only the Top-7 teams have positive xG differentials, they are right there in the running for the ‘best of the rest’ and own a -0.15 xG differential. They just lost 0-1 at Bologna in their last match and managed just one single shot on goal and that is certainly not the confidence this team wants heading into playing one of the best teams in the league.
Napoli are currently third in the table with a game in hand and need to win to keep pace with the two Milan clubs that are starting to separate from the back. I think we see them step up and get all three points here.
TAKE NAPOLI TO WIN (ML or -0.5)
Line Parameter: 4% to -150 or -0.75
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Consultant Bio
Nick Borrman has carved out a name for himself betting on soccer. He has been actively giving out free picks and analysis on soccer matches for several years through his Twitter handle @Borrman00. He was also an original writer on podbet.com, posting detailed write-ups of his picks.
Soccer
Borrman fell in love with professional ‘football’ (as anyone outside of the United States would refer to it) the first time he attended an MLS game seven years ago. Now, he uses statistical analysis as well as current trends to successfully find value on soccer matches across the globe. Borrman focuses much of his attention on the Premier League, La Liga, Ligue 1, Bundesliga and Serie A, as well as the most prestigious tournament of them all, the Champions League. Of course, you can’t forget the fast-growing MLS which finishes the year-round soccer schedule through the summer months in North America. Borrman derives many of his plays from his model forecasts and releases plays several days ahead of time to consistently beat line moves.
Golf
Borrman has been around golf his entire life and grew up playing every summer with his parents who were members of a local country club. He eventually found his career working in the golf business as a Class A PGA Professional. He has taken his vast knowledge of the game of golf and applies it to PGA Tour picks. Borrman has taught golf to all levels for the last 15 years and understands the intricacies of the sport, the nuances of playing at different courses and the difficutly of bringing top level focus and physical energy week-in and week-out. He is using this knowledge and trend forecasting to find winners each week on the PGA Tour.
Both sports are year-round and Borrman only focuses his attention on these sports while most people, especially the oddsmakers, focus their attention on the major American sports, leaving plenty of value on the table to exploit!