Olympiakos vs Aston Villa
Europa Conference League, Thursday, 3pm ET

Play: Both Teams to Score & Over 2.5 Goals
Odds at Time of Release: -130
Line Parameter: Playable to -135

Olympiakos pulled a MASSIVE upset in the first leg of the Europa Conference League semi-finals last week, beating Aston Villa by 4-2 at the Villa Park and making a huge step towards qualifying to the Final (which, by the way, is set to be played in Athens).The match-up is now reversed, with Olympiakos looking to defend their two-goal lead, and Aston Villa coming to score at least twice in order to have a fighting chance. This has the potential to turn into another goal-fest. It's also worth noting  that Aston Villa were missing starting goalkeeper Emiliano Martinez, which was a big loss for them as the back-up was bad in the first leg. 

Olympiakos have been playing very offensively since coach Mendilibar took over in February 11th (W13 D1 L3), with a 14-3 to the Over 2.5 goals and a 13-4 to the Both Teams to Score, and a 12-5 to the combo of Both Teams to Score & Over 2.5 Goals. In 9 home matches, they are 8-1 to the Over 2.5 goals and 6-3 to the Both Teams to Score. 

In their last 7 home matches in the Europa Conference League, Olympiakos are 6-1 to the Both Teams to Score & Over 2.5 Goals. 

Aston Villa are coming off a 1-0 loss to Brighton, but they were clearly distracted by this upcoming semi-final. They now need to win by at least two goals to have a fighting chance, while winning by 3 or more would see them through to the final. They are on a 7-2 run to the Both Teams to Score & Over 2.5 goals in all competitions, keeping a clean sheet against Arsenal and failing to score against Brighton. 

Aston Villa are 10-3 to the Over 2.5 goals in the Europa Conference League so far, and 8-3 to the Both teams to Score since the group stage. 

Aston Villa can definitely make a run for the qualification here, it's not beyond their capabilities to beat Olympiakos by 2 goals, but let me tell ya, the atmosphere at the Karaiskakis Stadium in Athens will be electric, thousands of Olympiakos fans are expected in this sold-out match, and Olympiakos can definitely score at least once here too. 

Don't complicate it, take 1u on Both Teams to Score & Over 2.5 Goals (-130)