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(553) Minnesota Timberwolves at (554) Denver Nuggets  (Game Analysis Below)

Play Rating: 3%

Play Type: Full Game Team Total

Play: Minnesota Timberwolves Total Over 100.5 (-110)

Date/Time: May 6, 2024 10:00 PM / Line Provider: Consensus

Minnesota @ Denver - Open: Denver (-5 & 208) / Current: Denver (-5.5 & 206.5)

Minnesota Scoring

Not sure Denver has the defensive capability to prevent Minnesota from getting to 101

Jamal Murray calf (nuisance injury) figures to limit him on the perimeter (needs to preserve his calf for offense)  

Difficult assignment guarding Anthony Edwards and Karl Anthony Towns (Caldwell Pope & Gordon are Nuggets options)

Edwards & KAT combined 25/42 – 63 points

Minnesota got over 40 point 1H & scored 66 2H points with only 5 of those coming from the free throw line (61 from the field)

Timnerwolves shot 27/23/37/21 free throws in the prior 4 games this season before Saturday night’s 12 / Expect more opportunities tonight

They’ve scored 106+ in all 5 games vs Denver this season 

The L2 have been extremely important – April 10 here for #1 seed Minnesota scored 107 and Game #1 here Minnesota scored 106

Minnesota doesn’t resemble your typical Game #2 road team up 1-0…oh they’re gonna be satisfied and fold vs. the desperate home favorite  

Final Look

The 2 games that Denver has won in this matchup this season were 115-112 @ Minnesota & the April 10 116-107 here

Those games landed 227 & 223 respectively  

The 3 Timberwolves wins were 199 / 209 & Game #1 205

Full game total could go either way but Denver’s had more success playing high scoring vs this opponent

Denver allowed the Lakers to shoot 49.2% for the series despite all the 2H LA fades & allowed them 103+ in 4 of the 5G

Close examination of what’s gone on between these teams indicates the number offered with the most value is Minnesota’s Team Total

HC Michael Malone & the Nuggets have had 5 chances to keep the T-Wolves to 100 or less and they haven’t done it yet

Will play it that way again  

Play: Minnesota Timberwolves Total Over 100.5 (-110)