The Knicks and Pacers start their Eastern Conference Semifinal series at MSG. The Pacers won the regular season series and did so with some phenomenal shooting. In two of the three games, Indian shot better than 58% from the field and in all three games shot better than 39% from three-point range. This is a simple styles make fights kind of series. The Pacers are the second fastest team in the NBA, while the Knicks are the slowest. The total for this game is 217. The average total for the regular season games was 239.5. In short, if this game is trending to go over, the Pacers will cover this number because the Knicks aren't built to score like Indiana is. The one game the Knicks won during the regular season was a 109-105 final at MSG. I simply think there are more outs here on the Indiana side. Plus, the Knicks don't separate all that well from anyone. I made this number Knicks -4.5 and even missing the opening of Pacers +6.5, I still think this is too many points here. The Pacers won a game at MSG earlier this year and won't be too swallowed up by the crowd there. If they are making shots early, it will keep the crowd at bay and if the Pacers are playing with a lead, they control the tempo.