The Padres face the Phillies in the final game of their series at Petco. San Diego has lost the first two and scored a combined four runs. I'm not sure the Phillies can hold the Padres lineup down for a 3rd straight game. San Diego is 5th in home runs and 9th in runs scored at home. They are also 10th in wRC+ at home this season. The Phillies start Tijuan Walker, who is making his first start of the year after coming off the injured list. Walker went 15-6 last season with the Phillies, but had a 4.38 ERA and a 1.31 WHIP. Opponents OPS was .717 and he allowed 20 home runs. Being it's his first start, I'd be shocked if he's not on a pitch count and doesn't last more than five innings, which turns it over to a bad Philadelphia bullpen that's got the second highest bullpen ERA in baseball at 5.85 and the second highest WHIP at 1.55. The Padres should have plenty of chances here to get over this number and we get even money.