Las Vegas Cris
(967) Los Angeles Dodgers at (968) Toronto Blue Jays
Event:
(967) Los Angeles Dodgers at (968) Toronto Blue Jays
Sport/League:
MLB
Date/Time:
April 26, 2024 7PM EDT
Play Rating:
3%
Odds:
-110
Play:
3% – (967) Los Angeles Dodgers at (968) Toronto Blue Jays Total Over 9.0 (-110) G Stone (RHP), C Bassitt (RHP) Must Start
Result:
Win
Analysis
3% LAD/TOR Over 9 (-110) listed/action
Bassitt’s not the pitcher he was a few years ago. His xERA and xFIP have been on a negative trend each of the L3 yeas, progressively getting worse. LAD are the #2 team in baseball vs sinkers, which Bassitt throse nearly 50% of the time. LAD are #2 in wRC+, ISO, SLG, OBP, and OPS vs RHP.
Stone has a very high ERA but he has also faced good offenses (NYM, SD, CHC, STL). But even if we ignore the elevated ERA, his advanced metrics show he is well below average. He has a 1.78 WHIP, 5.12 xFIP, and 4.80 SIERA.
Both pens are bottom half. Model projects 10.1
Good to -130
ceasars
