3% Seattle F5 (8:05 ET): Second straight day where I see the Mariners having a Big edge in the starting pitching department, so - just like yesterday - let's back them in the first five innings. Last night, the M's jumped out to an early 4-0 advantage, thanks to a pair of two-run HRs from Cal Raleigh and Julio Rodriguez. That held up, as the Rangers finished the game with only three hits and 4-0 was the final score. 

As expected, Logan Gilbert was dominant with 6 ⅔ shutout innings last night. Tonight, it will be Bryce Miller starting for Seattle. He has a 1.85 ERA and 0.822 WHIP through four starts. So I think he can be every bit as good as Gilbert was Tuesday. In fact, Miller has allowed only TWO runs total (one unearned) over his last three starts, which have spanned 19 ⅓ IP. Opponents are batting just .154 against Miller this season. Concerning for Texas is they've now been shutout each of their L2 home games and are hitting just .215 overall the L7 games. 

Meanwhile, Seattle's offense has really begun to hit its stride. Over the last two weeks, they rank second in the American League in wRC+. Like their chances here against Jon Gray, who has a 1.527 WHIP in four starts thus far. Only one time has Gray gone longer than five innings, as opposed to Miller who has done so three straight times. As I wrote in yesterday's analysis, these look like two division rivals trending in opposite directions at the moment. Expect the road team to be leading after five in this one. 3% Seattle F5 (Play to -110)